MC-SPEC: Specify how to do the Markov chain simulation. MC-spec writes records to a log file that specify the operations making up a single Markov chain iteration, and that also specify how dynamic trajectories are to be computed. When invoked with just a log file as argument, it displays the specifications stored at the given index, or the last specifications stored if no index is given. MC-spec is often invoked several times during a single simulation run. The last specification in the log file is used for further iterations. Usage: mc-spec log-file { operation-spec } [ / trajectory-spec ] or: mc-spec log-file [ index | "all" ] The log file must already exist. For the first form, specifications are appended to the log file with index equal that of the last record in the file, or 0 if the log file has no non-negative records. For the second form, with no index specified, the last specifications stored in the log file are displayed. If an index is specified in the second form, the specifications in the record with the given index are displayed. If the string "all" (no quotes) is given after the log file, specifications at all indexes are displayed. The allowed operations can be grouped in the categories general, metropolis, dynamical, tempering, and slicing. Note that the slicing operations should not be used when coupling chains, since they can cause the random number sequence for different chains to get out of synchronization. Common argument types: The following optional arguments are used for many of the operations described below: [ stepsize-adjust[:stepsize-alpha] ] Specifies a stepsize to use, or a distribution of stepsizes to randomly select from. A minus sign before a stepsize-adjust value results in the adjustment being applied to uniform stepsizes of one; otherwise, the adjustment is applied to the application-specific stepsizes (which may be non-uniform). A minus sign in front of stepsize alpha means that instead of the usual Gamma distribution for stepsizes, a distribution over 'alpha' orders of magnitude, uniform in the log domain, centred at the value found using stepsize-adjust, is used. The default is stepsize-adjust of 1 and stepsize-alpha of infinity (so that the stepsize is a constant). [ first[:last] ] ] Specifies a range of coordinates to operate on. The order of coordinates is specified by the application. Numbering starts with 0. If omitted, the range defaults to all components. If first is specified but last is omitted, last defaults to first. This range can instead be specified by a single upper-case letter, which is translated by the application into a range, which may depend on the values of state variables not in the range. This is done at present only by the 'src' module. General operations: repeat times Repeat the following operations the specified number of times. The repeated group of operations is terminated by 'end', or the end of the list. end Terminates a group of operations. plot Prints the current values of those quantities specified in the "xxx-mc" command on standard output, preceded by an index that is reset to zero every iteration. multiply-stepsizes factor [ first[:last] ] ] Multiplies the stepsizes for coordinates in the given range by the given factor. This modification persists for the remainder of the operations in the current iteraton, unless modified again, or unless the automatic stepsizes are overridden by a stepsize specification starting with "-", or unless an application-specific operation is done. (These last provisions are just to make implementation easier.) If a multiply-stepsizes operation is inside a "repeat", it will be done repeatedly. In particular, if factor is less than one, the stepsizes will be successively smaller for each repetition. slevel [ move [ random ] ] Sets the manner in which the [0,1] value used for a Metropolis accept/reject decision or for the setting the slice level is obtained. With no arguments, the value is found by generating a [0,1] value uniformly at random, ignoring the previous value. If move is specified, the value is obtained from the previous value by adding move, and also adding a uniform random value in (-random,+random) if random is specified, and then reflecting off the boundaries at 0 and 1 (implemented by confining the value to [-1,+1] by wrapping circularly, and using its absolute value as the [0,1] value). The value is also updated appropriately when a move is accepted, to achieve reversibility. The default is to generate a [0,1] value randomly, ignoring the previous value. Also, if no slevel operation is done, the value will not be recorded in the log file, and hence will not be available as the "s" quantity. (any operation not otherwise defined here) [ number [ number ] ] Invoke the application-specific update procedure, passing the name of the operation, and the numerical parameters following it, which default to zero. These operations may or may not be allowed when coupling. Metropolis/Gibbs operations: The "-b" option for the Metropolis operations below causes the "Barker" or "Boltzmann" acceptance probability to be used, rather than the usual "Metropolis" form. If R is the ratio of probability densities for the new and old states, the "-b" option acceptance probability is R/(1+R), whereas the Metropolis form is min(1,R). metropolis [ -b ] [ stepsize-adjust[:stepsize-alpha] ] Do a simple Metropolis update, to all components at once, using a Gaussian proposal distribution. met [ -b ] [ stepsize-adjust[:stepsize-alpha] ] Same as "metropolis". met-1 [ -b ] [ -r ] [ stepsize-adjust[:stepsize-alpha] [ first[:last] ] ] Do single-component Metropolis updates, for the range of components given (default all). If no -r argument is given, the components are all updated in order; with the -r option, just one randomly-chosen component is updated. rgrid-met [ -b ] [ stepsize-adjust[:stepsize-alpha] ] Do a random-grid Metropolis update, to all components at once, using a uniform proposal distribution centred on the current state and extending to plus and minus the stepsize specified. This uniform proposal is found by randomly positioning a grid of hypercubes and then proposing a move to the centre of the hypercube containing the current state. This leads to exact coalescence of coupled chains whenever both chains' states are in the same hypercube. rgrid-met-1 [ -b ] [ -r ] [ stepsize-adjust[:stepsize-alpha] [ first[:last] ] ] Do single-component random-grid Metropolis updates, for the range of components given (default all). If no -r argument is given, the components are all updated in order; with the -r option, just one randomly-chosen component is updated. binary-gibbs [ -r ] [ first[:last] ] ] Do Gibbs sampling updates for the range of coordinates given (default all), or do a Gibbs sampling update for one of these coordinates chosen at random, if -r is specified. The Gibbs sampling is done by ASSUMING that the range of the conditional distribution is the values 0 and 1. gaussian-gibbs [ -r ] [ first[:last] ] ] Do Gibbs sampling updates for the range of coordinates given (default all), or do a Gibbs sampling update for one of these coordinates chosen at random, if -r is specified. The Gibbs sampling is done by just ASSUMING that the conditional distribution is Gaussian, with its mean and variance being found by evaluating the energy at values of -1, 0, and +1 for the coordinate being updated. This WILL NOT BE VALID if the conditional distribution is not Gaussian. Dynamical operations: heatbath [ decay ] Do a heatbath update of the momentum variables. If decay is zero (the default), the current momentum is forgotten, and new values are picked randomly from their distribution. If decay is non-zero, the momentum variables are multiplied by decay, and Gaussian noise with variance 1-decay^2 is then added. radial-heatbath Do a radial heatbath update of the momentum variables, in which the squared magnitude of the momentum is sampled from a chi-squared distribution, while the direction is left unchanged. mix-momentum factor Does a random rotation of all momentum variables, by adding mean zero Gaussian noise to each momentum variable, and then multiplying all by the factor needed to produce the same kinetic energy as before. The variance of the noise added is the average squared magnitude of the current momentum variables times the specified factor squared. negate Negate the momentum variables. dynamic steps [ stepsize-adjust[:stepsize-alpha] ] Follow a dynamical trajectory for the given number of steps, always accepting the result (hence does not leave distribution exactly invariant). permuted-dynamic steps [ stepsize-adjust[:stepsize-alpha] ] Like 'dynamic', but the order of approximations is randomly permuted. hybrid steps[:window[:jump]] [ stepsize-adjust[:stepsize-alpha] [ first[:last] ] ] OR hybrid max-steps/max-ok[:jump] [ stepsize-adjust[:stepsize-alpha] [ first[:last] ] ] Use the results of following a dynamical trajectory as a candidate state for a Metropolis update. There are two forms, differing in the way length of a trajectory and its acceptance are determined. In both forms, states along a trajectory are looked at only at every 'jump' steps (and either 'steps' or 'max-steps' must be multiples of 'jump'). The default is a jump of one. The stepsize is determined as for the 'dynamic' operation. In both forms, the momentum is negated if the proposal is accepted in order to make the step reversible. In the first form, acceptance is based on a 'window' of states at the beginning and end of the trajectory. In the second form, acceptance is based on a single state, but the number of steps in the trajectory is not fixed - instead, the trajectory ends after max-ok states that would be accepted have been found (looking only every 'jump' states), or when max-steps states of any sort have been produced; if the trajectory ends for the first reason, acceptance is guaranteed. The default if neither 'max-ok' nor 'window' is specified is standard hybrid Monte Carlo (ie, a window of one). The first:last option restricts the update to only the specified range of coordinates (numbered from 0), same as if the others had a stepsize of zero. tempered-hybrid temper-factor steps[:window[:jump]] [ stepsize-adjust[:stepsize-alpha] [ first[:last] ] ] Like hybrid (first form), but the trajectory is "tempered" by multiplying the momenta by temper-factor in the first half of the portion of the trajectory outside any windows, and by 1/temper-factor in the second half. spiral temper-factor steps [ stepsize-adjust[:stepsize-alpha] ] Performs spiral dynamics, in which steps of Hamiltonian dynamics alternate with multiplication/division of the momentum by the specified tempering factor. The specified number of steps are randomly divided into steps "before" and "after" the current state. A state is the selected from all that are generated according to their probabilities adjusted for expansion or contraction by multiply/divide. double-spiral temper-factor steps [ stepsize-adjust[:stepsize-alpha] ] Like spiral, but with a reversal of multiply vs. divide at a randomly chosen point, producing a double spiral. Slicing operations: slice-1 [ -r ] [ -s [-]factor[/threshold] ] [ stepsize-adjust[:stepsize-alpha] [ max-steps [ first[:last] ] ] ] Do single-component slice sampling, for the range of components given (default all). If no -r argument is given, the components are all updated in order; with the -r option, just one randomly-chosen component is updated. If the max-steps argument is positive, it gives the maximum number of intervals to create when using the stepping out procedure to find an interval around the current point. A value of zero indicates that stepping out should be done with no limit (this is the default). If max-steps is negative, the interval is found by doubling, with minus max-steps again being the limit on the number of intervals (so setting max-steps to -1 gives the same results as setting it to 1). (There is no way to double without limit, but setting max-steps to -1000 is the same for all practical purposes.) With no -s option, when a point is rejected, one end of the interval shrinks to the rejected point. If the -s option is given, with no "-" before "factor", the interval may then be shrunk further by dividing it up into "factor" subintervals, and retaining only the subinterval that contains the current point. This additional shrinkage is done if the energy is more than "threshold" above the slice level (the default is a threshold of zero). If "-" is given before "factor", the initial shrinkage to the rejected point is not done - only the shrinkage by "factor" is done. As a consequence, shrinkage of the interval can be disabled entirely using "-s -1". slice [ -g | -G ] [ stepsize-adjust[:stepsize-alpha] ] Do multi-dimensional slice sampling with the given stepsize. At present, the initial hyperrectangle found cannot be expanded (either by stepping out or by doubling). After a point is randomly chosen from the hyperrectangle, it is shrunk in certain directions if the chosen point is not in the slice, and another random point chosen, until eventually a point in the slice is found. If neither the -g nor the -G option is specified, all coordinate directions are shrunk. If -g is specified, only one coordinate direction is shrunk - that for which the product of the absolute value of the energy gradient and the current dimension of the hyperrectange in that coordinate is the maximum. If -G is specified, this coordinate direction is shrunk (as for -g), along with all other coordinate directions for which the corresponding product is at least half this maximum. slice-gaussian [ -e ] [ stepsize-adjust[:stepsize-alpha] ] Do multi-dimensional slice sampling with Gaussian-distributed "crumbs". The distribution of the first crumb has diagonal covariance, with standard deviations given by the stepsizes. If no option is given, this is also the distribution of later crumbs. When -e is specified, later crumbs have their standard deviations rescaled based on the energy of the most recent trial point, so as to (hopefully) lead to a good chance of the next trial point lying in the slice. slice-over [ -r ] [ refinements [ refresh-prob [ stepsize-adjust[:stepsize-alpha] [ max-steps [ first[:last] ] ] ] ] ] Do overrelaxed slice sampling, for the range of components given, or for one such component chosen randomly, if the -r option is given. The endpoints are computed using the given number of refinements (default zero). The refresh probability is the probability of doing an ordinary slice sampling update rather than an overrelaxed one; it defaults to zero. The meaning of max-steps is as for slice-1. slice-inside steps [ stepsize-adjust[:stepsize-alpha] ] Performs multivariate slice sampling by reflection from inside points, proceeding for the indicated number of steps, with the indicated stepsize adjustment factor. The momentum is negated in such a way as to make the operation reversible. slice-outside steps[/in-steps] [ stepsize-adjust[:stepsize-alpha] ] Performs multivariate slice sampling by reflection from outside points, proceeding for the indicated number of steps, with the indicated stepsize adjustment factor. The momentum is negated at the end in such a way as to make the operation reversible. The in-steps argument gives a limit on the number of steps that can be inside the slice; it defaults to the same as steps (thereby having no effect). Setting in-steps to less than steps may decrease the chances of the trajectory ending on an outside point, and being rejected. Tempering/annealing operations: See also the descriptions under "dynamical operations" of the spiral, double-spiral, and tempered-hybrid operations. sim-temp Do a metropolis update of the simulated tempering inverse temperature, with a proposal of changing the temperature index in accord with the current tempering direction. The direction is negated if the proposal is accepted to make the step reversible. rand-dir Randomize the tempering direction. neg-dir Negate the tempering direction. temp-trans Perform a tempered transition, with components given by the following operations (terminated by 'end'). The components are done in forward order for the first half of the tempered transition, in reverse order for the second. For this to work correctly, the components must be reversible in themselves. AIS Proceed to the next step of an annealed importance sampling run, with the tempering index increased by one, adjusting the importance weight appropriately. If the tempering index is already at the final value (inverse temperature of one), a new state is randomly generated from the distribution at inverse temperature zero, and the tempering index is set to the beginning of the tempering schedule. Test operations: The following operations are useful for testing and research only, or possibly when trying to manually get your Markov chain started in a reasonable place. They do not leave the desired distribution invariant, and hence should not be used as part of any final sampling scheme. set-temp index Sets the temperature for simulated tempering to the given index from the tempering schedule (see mc-temp-sched.doc), with 0 being the highest temperature. The direction for temperature change is also set to +1 (to lower temperatures). multiply-momentum factor All momentum variables are multiplied by the given factor. set-momentum value All momentum variables are set to the given value. set-value value [ first[:last] ] Sets the "position" variable from first to last to the specified value. All variables are set if first:last is omitted, just first is set if last is omitted. Variable indexes start at 0. Certain of these operations are normally used in standard combinations, in particular the following: heatbath hybrid <steps> Standard hybrid Monte Carlo heatbath <decay> hybrid <steps> negate Persistent Hybrid Monte Carlo rand-dir sim-temp Standard simulated tempering sim-temp neg-dir Persistent Simulated tempering All operations are reversible (other than 'ais', 'repeat', and 'end' for which the concept is not applicable), except for 'dynamic', 'permuted-dynamic', 'multiply-momentum', 'set-momentum', and perhaps the application-specific operations. However, note that in general sequential combinations of reversible operations are not reversible. Defaults are all components, decay of zero, stepsize-adjust of one, stepsize-alpha of infinity, window of one, and jump of one. The trajectory specification can have one of the following forms: leapfrog [ halfp | halfq ] [ N-approx | frac ] [ approx-file ] Use the leapfrog method. The "halfp" or "halfq" option specifies whether the half-steps at the beginning and end of the trajectory are for p (momentum) or q (position). The default is "halfp". The N-approx option results in N-approx leapfrog steps for each overall step, which use successive approximations to the energy (whose average must be the true value), in an order randomly selected at the start of the trajectory. The default for N-approx is one. The optional approx-file arguement gives the name of a file containing further information on how the approximations are constructed, whose contents are specific to the application. opt2 [ rev | sym ] [ firstq | firstp ] [ frac ] Apply McLachlan and Atela's "optimal" two stage method, with the first step being done for the position (firstq) or momentum (firstp) variables. The default is "firstp". This method is not symmetrical. The "rev" option gives the reversed version. The "sym" option gives the ordinary followed by the reversed version, with half the stepsize for each, thereby producing a symmetrical method. Only the symmetrical method should be used in conjuntion with "hybrid" and "tempered hybrid" operations. gen2 [ rev | sym ] [ firstq | firstp ] a2 [ frac ] Apply a two stage second-order method with parameter a2, as described by McLachlan and Atela. Firstq and firstp are as for opt2. This is probably only interesting for research, since the most useful values for a2 are covered by "leapfrog" and "opt2". The "rev" and "sym" options are as for opt2. opt4 [ rev | sym ] [ frac ] Apply McLachlan and Atela's "optimal" four stage method for quadratic kinetic energy. The "rev" and "sym" options are as for opt2. The frac option for all these specifications causes the gradient of the energy use to be based on that fraction of some set of terms (eg, training cases). The default is to use all terms (ie, frac of 1). This option may be ignored by some applications. The default if no specification is given is "leapfrog halfp". The opt2, gen2, and opt4 methods are taken from a paper by Robert I. McLachlan and Pau Atela, "The accuracy of symplectic integrators", Nonlinearity, vol. 5, pp. 541-562, 1992. (Note: there is a typo in their description of opt2 in table 2. b1=1-b2 should be 1-1/sqrt(2).) The list of operations is stored in a record of type 'o'; the trajectory specification in a record of type 't'. Copyright (c) 1995-2019 by Radford M. Neal